Modelling and solution methods for stochastic optimisation

This thesis was submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy and awarded by Brunel University.In this thesis we consider two research problems, namely, (i) language constructs for modelling stochastic programming (SP) problems and (ii) solution methods for processing instances of different classes of SP problems. We first describe a new design of an SP modelling system which provides greater extensibility and reuse. We implement this enhanced system and develop solver connections. We also investigate in detail the following important classes of SP problems: singlestage SP with risk constraints, two-stage linear and stochastic integer programming problems. We report improvements to solution methods for single-stage problems with second-order stochastic dominance constraints and two-stage SP problems. In both cases we use the level method as a regularisation mechanism. We also develop novel heuristic methods for stochastic integer programming based on variable neighbourhood search. We describe an algorithmic framework for implementing decomposition methods such as the L-shaped method within our SP solver system. Based on this framework we implement a number of established solution algorithms as well as a new regularisation method for stochastic linear programming. We compare the performance of these methods and their scale-up properties on an extensive set of benchmark problems. We also implement several solution methods for stochastic integer programming and report a computational study comparing their performance. The three solution methods, (a) processing of a single-stage problem with second-order stochastic dominance constraints, (b) regularisation by the level method for two-stage SP and (c) method for solving integer SP problems, are novel approaches and each of these makes a contribution to knowledge.Financial support was obtained from OptiRisk Systems

Enhanced indexation based on second-order stochastic dominance

Second order Stochastic Dominance (SSD) has a well recognised importance in portfolio selection, since it provides a natural interpretation of the theory of risk-Averse investor behaviour. Recently, SSD-based models of portfolio choice have been proposed; these assume that a reference distribution is available and a portfolio is constructed, whose return distribution dominates the reference distribution with respect to SSD. We present an empirical study which analyses the effectiveness of such strategies in the context of enhanced indexation. Several datasets, drawn from FTSE 100, SP 500 and Nikkei 225 are investigated through portfolio rebalancing and backtesting. Three main conclusions are drawn. First, the portfolios chosen by the SSD based models consistently outperformed the indices and the traditional index trackers. Secondly, the SSD based models do not require imposition of cardinality constraints since naturally a small number of stocks are selected. Thus, they do not present the computational difficulty normally associated with index tracking models. Finally, the SSD based models are robust with respect to small changes in the scenario set and little or no rebalancing is necessary. In this paper we present a unified framework which incorporates (a) SSD, (b) downside risk (Conditional Value-At-Risk) minimisation and (c) enhanced indexation. © 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved